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Subject http://magazine.jhsph.edu/2005/Fall/features/if_king.cfm
Date Tue Feb 9 18:06:11 2010
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<div id="storyText" title=""Disease Forecasting"—If Epidemiologists Were King..." >
<h1> If Epidemiologists Were King... </h1>
<p> "Disease is a perfect phenomenon for attempting to forecast. The potential benefits are absolutely incredible," says epidemiologist
<a href="http://faculty.jhsph.edu/?f=Nathan%20D&l=Wolfe" title="Nathan Wolfe" > Nathan Wolfe </a>
. "I know it's a tough thing, but we need to find a way to take some fraction of the public health research dollars spent on infectious diseases and point it this way to see if we can develop a successful system." </p>
<p> What would mark a worthy start toward a future in which disease forecasting plays a significant role in public health?
<a href="http://faculty.jhsph.edu/?f=Donald&l=Burke%20" title="Don Burke" > Don Burke </a>
, professor of International Health, looks for three basic initiatives that he guesstimates would carry a combined price tag upward of $1 billion. </p>
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<li> Establish, in cooperation with host nations, at least five fixed research and surveillance laboratories near disease hotspots around the world, staffed by 20 researchers each. </li>
<li> Create a joint federal institute charged with developing forecasting strategies focused on zoonotic disease. It should include representation from the Department of the Interior, the Department of Agriculture, the National Institutes of Health, the U.S. Geological Survey and possibly the Department of Homeland Security. </li>
<li> Invest in academic investigators exploring disease forecasting research and predictive computational modeling by establishing forecasting as a clearly identified and prioritized class of NIH grants. </li>
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<a href="" title="Rotavirus Vaccine—A Powerful Tool to Combat Deaths from Diarrhea" > Rotavirus Vaccine—A Powerful Tool to Combat Deaths from Diarrhea </a>
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<a href="http://www.jhsph.edu/publichealthnews/press_releases/2010/baker_china_disparity.html" title="Significant Urban-Rural Disparities in Injury Mortality Seen in China" > Significant Urban-Rural Disparities in Injury Mortality Seen in China </a>
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<a href="http://www.jhsph.edu/publichealthnews/press_releases/2010/nachega_health_costs.html" title="High Antiretroviral Therapy Adherence Associated with Lower Health Care Costs" > High Antiretroviral Therapy Adherence Associated with Lower Health Care Costs </a>
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<a href="http://www.jhsph.edu/publichealthnews/press_releases/2009/zhang_antibiotic_tb.html" title="Researchers Identify Tuberculosis Strain That Thrives on Antibiotic" > Researchers Identify Tuberculosis Strain That Thrives on Antibiotic </a>
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<a href="http://www.jhsph.edu/publichealthnews/press_releases/2009/carlson_brain_scan.html" title="For Older Adults, Participating in Social Service Activities Can Improve Brain Functions" > For Older Adults, Participating in Social Service Activities Can Improve Brain Functions </a>
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<a href="http://www.jhsph.edu/publichealthnews/press_releases/2009/who_tobacco.html" title="WHO Report Shows 95 Percent of World’s Population Not Protected from Secondhand Tobacco Smoke" > WHO Report Shows 95 Percent of World’s Population Not Protected from Secondhand Tobacco Smoke </a>
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<a href="http://www.jhsph.edu/publichealthnews/press_releases/2009/levine_ivac.html" title="JHSPH Establishes International Vaccine Access Center" > JHSPH Establishes International Vaccine Access Center </a>
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